This month’s update includes the August Crop Production Report, WASDE Update, condition analysis, weather outlook, implications for storage, projected futures trading ranges to July 2019, and risk management updates.
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This month’s update includes the June acreage report, July WASDE update regarding trade and soybeans, crop conditions, precipitation and temperature outlook and risk management opportunities, among other topics.
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Latest newsletter from Todd Davis includes WASDE update, crop condition analysis, weather outlook, projected trading ranges, and risk management opportunities.
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Latest newsletter from Todd Davis. Includes WASDE update, crop progress and condition analysis, storage implications, projected returns, and risk management opportunities.
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Dr. Todd Davis's latest update includes WASDE news, prospective plantings, winter wheat condition, implications for grain storage, and more.
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“May you live in interesting times” is attributed to a Chinese curse. The times are indeed interesting in the grain markets, as China has announced proposed tariffs on corn and corn products; soybeans and soy products; and wheat.
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USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released the annual Price Reactions following USDA Crop Reports report March 9, showing commodity price reactions following the Crop Production and Grain Stocks reports.
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Latest update from Dr. Todd Davis. This month's newsletter includes March WASDE update, implication of USDA Outlook Conference price forecast, storage scenarios, and risk management.
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Latest update from Dr. Todd Davis includes WASDE news from South America, potential 2018 RP crop insurance safety-net for corn and soybeans, implications for storage, risk management opportunities, and more.
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Tight marketing conditions have caused many growers to store larger amounts of grain for longer periods. To help producers work through some potential grain storage issues, University of Kentucky College of Agriculture, Food and Environment specialists are hosting the Postharvest Grain Management Meeting Feb. 28. Registration will begin at 8 a.m. CST at the Daviess County Extension office in Owensboro.
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Latest newsletter from Dr. Todd Davis. Articles include: corn and soybean production estimates, break-even analysis, storage considerations and risk management.
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Latest Crops Marketing and Management Update from Todd Davis.
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The November WASDE made minor changes to the 2017-18 wheat supply and demand projections, which is typical as there is little new production or demand information until the “final” estimates in January.
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A key component of marketing stored grain is monitoring local basis and understanding the seasonal components of basis. Figure 1 and Figure 2 show the monthly average corn and soybean spot basis, respectively, for 12 Western Kentucky markets. Notice that basis tends to follow seasonal patterns with the widest level at harvest with appreciation into spring and early summer.
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Grain markets this fall are suggesting producers should store their corn and soybeans. The question is whether storage is going to pay off.
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The August and September Crop Production reports disappointed market bulls as expectations were that a less than perfect growing season would produce trend-line or below-trend yields. The potential of a smaller crop would then allow stocks to decline and provided a needed boost to market prices.
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The Kentucky Soybean Board partnered with the University of Kentucky College of Agriculture, Food and Environment to develop an app to help soybean producers accurately calculate and compare the price offered by elevators, with consideration to delivery costs and high-moisture penalties for harvested grain.
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High corn and soybean yields, a large carryover from 2016 and transportation challenges have combined to put pressure on grain markets this fall. Many farmers are looking at every available storage option.
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